Home Federal Bancorp Stock Performance

Home Federal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,519  in Home Federal Bancorp on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  357.00  from holding Home Federal Bancorp or generate 23.5% return on investment over 90 days. Home Federal Bancorp is currently generating 0.5209% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0059% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Home, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal is expected to generate 5.36 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.36 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of risk.

Home Federal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home Federal has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Home Federal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Home Federal Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Home Federal Bancorp has an alpha of 0.5097, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Predictive Modules for Home Federal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Home Federal Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 14.80 18.81 22.82 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 13.94 17.95 21.96 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 14.91 18.91 22.92 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 12.30 18.52 24.75 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Home Federal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Home Federal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Home Federal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Home Federal Bancorp.

Home Federal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Home Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Home Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Home Federal Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Home Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

Home Federal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Home Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Home Federal Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Home Federal Price Density Drivers

Home Federal Fundamentals Growth

Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Home Federal Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Home Federal Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Home's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Home Federal's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Home Federal's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Home Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Home Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Home Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.